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Focusing on rigorous, causal evidence and understudied aspects of the criminal justice system ensures policymakers, practitioners, and researchers have access to accurate and actionable information on what makes our communities safer and fairer.

Houston, TX (March 27, 2025) — Arnold Ventures’ (AV) grants awarded in 2024 by its Criminal Justice program demonstrate the philanthropy’s commitment to rigorous studies across every aspect of the criminal justice system. From community safety and policing, to courts and pretrial, to incarceration and post-incarceration, funded projects demonstrated strong research methods, innovative new approaches for gathering and analyzing evidence, and/​or a focus on understudied aspects of our justice system.

Reducing crime, improving public safety, and making the justice system more effective remain top priorities for communities across the country. However, often policymakers do not have strong, reliable evidence about how to achieve these outcomes. 

In order to craft effective, bipartisan public safety and criminal justice policy, we must have rigorous, causal evidence on what works and what doesn’t,” said Jennifer Doleac, Executive Vice President of Criminal Justice at AV. In 2024, our support allowed researchers throughout the country to investigate policies and interventions that can potentially reduce crime and make our criminal justice system fairer and more effective.” 

Projects supported in 2024 were primarily accepted through an open RFP. Examples of funded grant applications include:

Community Safety

  • Name: Business Cycles and Police Hires
    Description: This project uses a difference-in-differences design to examine the impact of business cycles on the number and quality of police job applicants and the quality of police officers hired.
    Geographic Focus: Florida
    Grant Recipient: The University of Texas at Austin
    Principal Investigator(s): Cody Tuttle, Fernando Saltiel
    Term: 2024 – 2025
    Amount: $55,800
  • Name: How do policies encouraging or discouraging pretext stops impact civilian contact with the police?
    Description: This project uses synthetic controls to evaluate the impact of banning pretextual police stops and a difference-in-differences design to evaluate the impact of federal training for local law enforcement on how to make pretextual stops. 
    Geographic Focus: California
    Grant Recipient: The University of California at Irvine
    Principal Investigator(s): Emily Hope Anderson, Emily Owens
    Term: 2024 – 2025
    Amount: $80,300
  • Name: Sibling Spillovers and the Medium-Run Impacts of Restorative Justice: Exploratory Analyses
    Description:
    This project uses a difference-in-differences design to extend a previous evaluation of restorative justice practices in schools by examining medium-run impacts as well as spillovers among siblings.
    Geographic Focus:
    Chicago, Illinois
    Grant Recipient:
    The University of Chicago
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Anjali Adukia, Benjamin Feigenberg
    Term:
    2024 – 2026
    Amount:
    $295,900
  • Name: An Experimental Test of a Behavioral Science-Informed Violence Prevention Program: Choose to Change (C2C)
    Description: This project uses a randomized controlled trial to examine the impact of a behavioral science-informed intervention for youth at high risk of violence involvement. 
    Geographic Focus: Chicago, Illinois
    Grant Recipient: The University of Chicago
    Principal Investigator(s): Nour Abdul-Razzak, Kelly Hallberg
    Term: 2024 – 2025
    Amount: $95,500
  • Name: The Impact of Federal Investigations on Policing Activities
    Description:
    The project uses interrupted time series, difference-in-differences, and synthetic control methods to evaluate the impact of a federal consent decree in Seattle.
    Geographic Focus:
    Seattle, Washington
    Grant Recipient:
    Cornell University
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Romaine Campbell
    Term:
    2024 – 2025
    Amount:
    $57,500

Courts

  • Name: A Randomized Controlled Trial to Measure the Impact of Financial Assistance on Pretrial Outcomes
    Description:
    This project uses a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the impact of financial assistance on both short-term and long-term pretrial outcomes, including court attendance, incarceration for failures to appear, and case closures.
    Geographic Focus:
    Santa Clara, California
    Grant Recipient:
    Harvard University
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Sharad Goel
    Term:
    2024 – 2026
    Amount:
    $271,100
  • Name: Persistent Low-Level Offenders Diversion: An RCT
    Description: This project uses a randomized controlled trial to test if a court-led diversion program targeting persistent low-level offenders can reduce recidivism and improve housing and employment stability. 
    Geographic Focus: Toledo, Ohio
    Grant Recipient: Harvard University
    Principal Investigator(s): James Greiner
    Term: 2024 – 2030
    Amount: $843,600
  • Name: A Tale of Three States: Bond Court Decisions and Outcomes in Illinois, Wisconsin, and Colorado
    Description: This project uses interrupted time series and difference-in-differences designs to measure the effect of statewide policy changes on the use of monetary bail, level of pre-trial detention, and case outcomes. It also uses an instrumental variable design to recover the causal effect of monetary bail on pretrial misconduct (failure to appear or subsequent criminal activity).
    Geographic Focus: Illinois, Colorado, Wisconsin
    Grant Recipient: Loyola University of Chicago
    Principal Investigator(s): Branden DuPont, Joseph (J.J.) Naddeo, Don Stemen
    Term: 2024 – 2026
    Amount: $299,600
  • Name: Reducing Racial Disparities in Bail Decisions
    Description:
    This project uses a randomized controlled trial to evaluate an intervention designed to improve accuracy and reduce racial disparities in bail decisions.
    Geographic Focus:
    United States
    Grant Recipient:
    Harvard University
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Will Dobbie, Crystal Yang
    Term:
    2024 – 2025
    Amount:
    $140,600
  • Name: Assessing the Impact of Bail Litigation and Abandonment of Bail Reform in Two North Carolina Counties
    Description:
    This project uses a difference-in-differences design to estimate the impacts of changes in bail policy to end the presumption of secured bonds for people with low-level misdemeanor charges in two North Carolina counties
    Geographic Focus:
    Alamance and Forsyth Counties, North Carolina
    Grant Recipient:
    The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Alexander Cowell, Jessica Smith
    Term:
    2024 – 2026
    Amount:
    $349,000
  • Name: Research on Shelby County Bail Reform
    Description:
    This project uses a difference-in-differences design to evaluate the impact of reforms to the bail system in Shelby County, Tennessee.
    Geographic Focus:
    Shelby County, Tennessee
    Grant Recipient:
    The University of Memphis
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Jonathan Bennett
    Term:
    2024 – 2025
    Amount:
    $87,700

Incarceration and post-incarceration

  • Name: Parental Sentencing Alternative
    Description:
    This project uses an instrumental variable design as well as a regression discontinuity design to estimate the effects of deferring prison sentences for convicted parents and the effects of releasing parents from prison early.
    Geographic Focus:
    Washington State
    Grant Recipient:
    The University of Chicago
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Danielle Nemschoff
    Term:
    2024 – 2026
    Amount:
    $53,600
  • Name: Impacts of Long Sentence Reforms in California
    Description:
    This project uses difference-in-differences designs to evaluate the impacts of two policy changes aimed at reducing prison sentences – Proposition 57 and Senate Bill 1393.
    Geographic Focus:
    California
    Grant Recipient:
    The University of California, Berkeley
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Mia Bird, Johanna Lacoe, Steven Raphael
    Term:
    2024 – 2027
    Amount:
    $598,600
  • Name: Prison Education and Prisoner Outcomes
    Description:
    This project uses an instrumental variable design to estimate the impact of higher education in prison on future education, reincarceration, and employment.
    Geographic Focus:
    Iowa
    Grant Recipient:
    Grinnell College
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Romaine Campbell, Logan Lee
    Term:
    2024 – 2025
    Amount:
    $50,500
  • Name: Oklahoma Legal Debt Study
    Description:
    This project uses a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the long-term impact of court-ordered fines and fees in Oklahoma County’s misdemeanor court. 
    Geographic Focus: Oklahoma
    Grant Recipient:
    Columbia University
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Bruce Western, Lindsay Bing
    Term:
    2024 – 2025
    Amount: $99,900
  • Name: A Multi-Tiered Analysis of Debt Free Youth Justice’s Impacts
    Description:
    This project uses difference-in-differences designs to assess the impact of legislative changes to reduce or eliminate the use of fines and fees in the juvenile legal system.
    Geographic Focus:
    United States
    Grant Recipient:
    The University of Missouri
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Valerie R. Anderson, Christopher Sullivan
    Term:
    2024 – 2025
    Amount:
    $273,700
  • Name: Evaluating a Change in Drug Sentencing in Connecticut: The Effect of HB-7104
    Description:
    This project uses a difference-in-differences design to evaluate HB-7104, which de-felonized drug possession convictions.
    Geographic Focus:
    Connecticut
    Grant Recipient:
    The Urban Institute
    Principal Investigator(s):
    Walter Campbell
    Term:
    2025 – 2027
    Amount:
    $589,400

This release covers a subset of grants that were committed, awarded or fully executed in 2024. It is intended to be illustrative of the work that AV is funding in the criminal justice field and serve as a resource for academics and practitioners who might be interested in applying for funding or in the outcome of previously funded research. It is not a comprehensive summary of AV’s criminal justice grantmaking. Grant amounts are rounded to the nearest hundred dollars. 


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Arnold Ventures is a philanthropy that supports research to understand the root causes of America’s most persistent and pressing problems, as well as evidence-based solutions to address them. By focusing on systemic change, AV is working to improve the lives of American families, strengthen their communities, and promote their economic opportunity. Since Laura and John Arnold launched their foundation in 2008, the philanthropy has expanded, and Arnold Ventures’ focus areas include education, criminal justice, health, infrastructure, and public finance, advocating for bipartisan policy reforms that will lead to lasting, scalable change. The Arnolds became signatories of the Giving Pledge in 2010.

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